Odds

My Football Hero · Updated 2026-10-13

Every number here comes straight from the game data and matches what you see in the game under [Settings > Support > Odds].
Crowns are bought with real money. You can swap Crowns for € (Sponsor Bonus) in [Shop > Crown Shop], so we also show the odds for card packs opened with €. Fame Packs only take FP earned in Career.
Chances are rounded at around the third decimal place, so some tables may not add up to exactly 100%.
If any odds change, this page and the in-game screen change together and the date above is updated.

Card Packs

Card packs contain gear and staff cards. The grades available depend on your league tier.

Premium Pack ×1

Second tier €21,000 · Top flight · Europe €140,000

Pity: if no A or better turns up, an A is guaranteed once you reach 150 cards' worth of standard packs. Each card in this pack is worth 10, so it's guaranteed by card 15. All card packs (award and free ad packs too) share this counter, and it resets to 0 whenever you get an A or better. Third-tier packs have no A, so pity can't trigger there — but the count keeps building and carries over to your first pack in the second tier.
The free Premium Pack you can open once a day by watching an ad uses the same odds and pity.
Gear and staff, 50% each.

Second tier · €21,000

Grade	Chance per card
A	10.01%
B	40.04%
C	10.01%
D	39.94%

Including the pity counter, the real rate of A or better when opening only this card pack is 12.6% (base 10.01%).

Top flight · Europe · €140,000

Grade	Chance per card
S	0.1%
A	10%
B	40%
C	10%
D	39.9%

Including the pity counter, the real rate of A or better when opening only this card pack is 12.66% (base 10.1%).

Premium Pack ×10

Second tier €189,000 · Top flight · Europe €1,260,000

You get 10 cards at once. Each card is decided separately using the odds above.
At least 1 of the 10 cards is guaranteed to be B or better.
Pity: if no A or better turns up, an A is guaranteed once you reach 150 cards' worth of standard packs. Each card in this pack is worth 10, so it's guaranteed by card 15. All card packs (award and free ad packs too) share this counter, and it resets to 0 whenever you get an A or better. Third-tier packs have no A, so pity can't trigger there — but the count keeps building and carries over to your first pack in the second tier.
Gear and staff, 50% each.

Second tier · €189,000

Grade	Chance per card
A	10.01%
B	40.04%
C	10.01%
D	39.94%

The chance that all 10 cards are below B is 0.097%. If that happens, the first card is upgraded to B. Including the pity counter, the real rate of A or better when opening only this card pack is 12.6% (base 10.01%).

Top flight · Europe · €1,260,000

Grade	Chance per card
S	0.1%
A	10%
B	40%
C	10%
D	39.9%

The chance that all 10 cards are below B is 0.096%. If that happens, the first card is upgraded to B. Including the pity counter, the real rate of A or better when opening only this card pack is 12.66% (base 10.1%).

Scout Pack ×1

Third tier (B team) €500 · Second tier €3,000 · Top flight · Europe €20,000

Pity: if no A or better turns up, an A is guaranteed once you reach 150 cards' worth of standard packs. That's card 150. All card packs (award and free ad packs too) share this counter, and it resets to 0 whenever you get an A or better. Third-tier packs have no A, so pity can't trigger there — but the count keeps building and carries over to your first pack in the second tier.
Gear and staff, 50% each.

Third tier (B team) · €500

Grade	Chance per card
C	10.53%
D	89.47%

Second tier · €3,000

Grade	Chance per card
A	1%
B	4%
C	10%
D	85%

Including the pity counter, the real rate of A or better when opening only this card pack is 1.285% (base 1%).

Top flight · Europe · €20,000

Grade	Chance per card
S	0.01%
A	1%
B	4%
C	10%
D	84.99%

Including the pity counter, the real rate of A or better when opening only this card pack is 1.292% (base 1.01%).

Scout Pack ×10

Third tier (B team) €4,500 · Second tier €27,000 · Top flight · Europe €180,000

You get 10 cards at once. Each card is decided separately using the odds above.
At least 1 of the 10 cards is guaranteed to be C or better.
Pity: if no A or better turns up, an A is guaranteed once you reach 150 cards' worth of standard packs. That's card 150. All card packs (award and free ad packs too) share this counter, and it resets to 0 whenever you get an A or better. Third-tier packs have no A, so pity can't trigger there — but the count keeps building and carries over to your first pack in the second tier.
Gear and staff, 50% each.

Third tier (B team) · €4,500

Grade	Chance per card
C	10.53%
D	89.47%

The chance that all 10 cards are below C is 32.88%. If that happens, the first card is upgraded to C.

Second tier · €27,000

Grade	Chance per card
A	1%
B	4%
C	10%
D	85%

The chance that all 10 cards are below C is 19.68%. If that happens, the first card is upgraded to C. Including the pity counter, the real rate of A or better when opening only this card pack is 1.285% (base 1%).

Top flight · Europe · €180,000

Grade	Chance per card
S	0.01%
A	1%
B	4%
C	10%
D	84.99%

The chance that all 10 cards are below C is 19.66%. If that happens, the first card is upgraded to C. Including the pity counter, the real rate of A or better when opening only this card pack is 1.292% (base 1.01%).

Gear Pack

Second tier €4,500 · Top flight · Europe €30,000

Pity: if no A or better turns up, an A is guaranteed once you reach 150 cards' worth of standard packs. That's card 150. All card packs (award and free ad packs too) share this counter, and it resets to 0 whenever you get an A or better. Third-tier packs have no A, so pity can't trigger there — but the count keeps building and carries over to your first pack in the second tier.
Gear cards only.

Second tier · €4,500

Grade	Chance per card
A	1%
B	4%
C	10%
D	85%

Including the pity counter, the real rate of A or better when opening only this card pack is 1.285% (base 1%).

Top flight · Europe · €30,000

Grade	Chance per card
S	0.01%
A	1%
B	4%
C	10%
D	84.99%

Including the pity counter, the real rate of A or better when opening only this card pack is 1.292% (base 1.01%).

Staff Pack

Second tier €4,500 · Top flight · Europe €30,000

Pity: if no A or better turns up, an A is guaranteed once you reach 150 cards' worth of standard packs. That's card 150. All card packs (award and free ad packs too) share this counter, and it resets to 0 whenever you get an A or better. Third-tier packs have no A, so pity can't trigger there — but the count keeps building and carries over to your first pack in the second tier.
Staff cards only.

Second tier · €4,500

Grade	Chance per card
A	1%
B	4%
C	10%
D	85%

Including the pity counter, the real rate of A or better when opening only this card pack is 1.285% (base 1%).

Top flight · Europe · €30,000

Grade	Chance per card
S	0.01%
A	1%
B	4%
C	10%
D	84.99%

Including the pity counter, the real rate of A or better when opening only this card pack is 1.292% (base 1.01%).

Fame Pack

Top flight · Europe FP 10

Only B or better. Any card rolled below B is upgraded to B (the table above shows the odds after that upgrade).
Pity: if no A or better turns up, an A is guaranteed once you reach 150 cards' worth of standard packs. That's card 150. All card packs (award and free ad packs too) share this counter, and it resets to 0 whenever you get an A or better. Third-tier packs have no A, so pity can't trigger there — but the count keeps building and carries over to your first pack in the second tier.
Gear and staff, 50% each.

Top flight · Europe · FP 10

Grade	Chance per card
S	0.0095%
A	1.905%
B	98.09%

Including the pity counter, the real rate of A or better when opening only this card pack is 2.026% (base 1.914%).

Card types

Which gear or staff card a card pack gives you

Grade and type are decided separately. Once the grade is set, the type is picked using the odds below.
Scout Packs, Premium Packs and Fame Packs are half gear, half staff (50% each), so for them each chance below is halved. Gear Packs give only gear, and Staff Packs only staff.
Boots, shin pads & tape, wearables and nutrition are equally likely. 70% of the time, the exact item is picked with equal chance from those that suit your position; the rest of the time, from all of them.

Staff type (per card from a Staff Pack)

Type	Chance
Personal Coach (Technical)	3.571%
Personal Coach (Mental)	3.571%
Personal Coach (Physical)	3.571%
Personal Coach (Goalkeeping)	3.571%
Personal Chef	14.29%
Mind Coach	14.29%
Physio	14.29%
Analyst	14.29%
Agent	14.29%
PR Manager	14.29%

Boots (per card from a Gear Pack)

Position	Light boots	Grip boots	Power boots	Control boots	Stud boots	Keeper boots
GK	1.25%	1.25%	1.25%	1.25%	1.25%	18.75%
CB	1.25%	1.25%	1.25%	1.25%	18.75%	1.25%
LB	10%	1.25%	1.25%	1.25%	10%	1.25%
RB	10%	1.25%	1.25%	1.25%	10%	1.25%
DM	1.25%	1.25%	1.25%	10%	10%	1.25%
CM	1.25%	1.25%	1.25%	18.75%	1.25%	1.25%
AM	1.25%	7.083%	7.083%	7.083%	1.25%	1.25%
LW	10%	10%	1.25%	1.25%	1.25%	1.25%
RW	10%	10%	1.25%	1.25%	1.25%	1.25%
ST	10%	1.25%	10%	1.25%	1.25%	1.25%

Pads & tape (per card from a Gear Pack)

Position	Shin pads	Keeper gloves	Ankle tape	Sleeve	Headgear
GK	1.5%	19%	1.5%	1.5%	1.5%
CB	10.25%	1.5%	1.5%	1.5%	10.25%
LB	10.25%	1.5%	1.5%	10.25%	1.5%
RB	10.25%	1.5%	1.5%	10.25%	1.5%
DM	10.25%	1.5%	1.5%	10.25%	1.5%
CM	10.25%	1.5%	1.5%	10.25%	1.5%
AM	1.5%	1.5%	19%	1.5%	1.5%
LW	1.5%	1.5%	19%	1.5%	1.5%
RW	1.5%	1.5%	19%	1.5%	1.5%
ST	1.5%	1.5%	10.25%	1.5%	10.25%

Wearable (per card from a Gear Pack)

Position	GPS vest	Vision trainer	Shooting sensor	Reaction trainer	Tactics tablet
GK	1.5%	1.5%	1.5%	10.25%	10.25%
CB	1.5%	1.5%	1.5%	1.5%	19%
LB	10.25%	1.5%	1.5%	1.5%	10.25%
RB	10.25%	1.5%	1.5%	1.5%	10.25%
DM	7.333%	7.333%	1.5%	1.5%	7.333%
CM	10.25%	10.25%	1.5%	1.5%	1.5%
AM	1.5%	19%	1.5%	1.5%	1.5%
LW	1.5%	1.5%	19%	1.5%	1.5%
RW	1.5%	1.5%	19%	1.5%	1.5%
ST	1.5%	1.5%	19%	1.5%	1.5%

Nutrition and supplements have no sub-types, so each is 25% per card from a Gear Pack.

Traits · Assistants

One result is drawn, and every result is equally likely.

Trait Pack

Second tier €75,000 · Top flight · Europe €500,000

One trait is guaranteed. It's picked with equal chance from the good and neutral traits you don't have yet.
Traits you already have, and traits that clash with them, are excluded.
You can't open it when your trait slots are full (and you won't be charged).

Traits available (with no traits · 38 including position-locked ones)

Trait	Chance
Shoots From Distance	2.632%
Runs In Behind	2.632%
Runs With Ball	2.632%
Tries Killer Balls	2.632%
Plays One-Touch Football	2.632%
Holds Up Ball	2.632%
Cuts InsideLW·RW	2.632%
Hugs LineLW·RW	2.632%
Curls Shots	2.632%
Power Shot	2.632%
Penalty Taker	2.632%
Set-Piece Specialist	2.632%
Tries Lobs	2.632%
Plays Simple Passes	2.632%
Tries Tricks	2.632%
Presses High	2.632%
Shot-Stopping InstinctGK	2.632%
Sweeper KeeperGK	2.632%
Commands AreaGK	2.632%
Stays Back	2.632%
Stays On Feet	2.632%
Dives Into Tackles	2.632%
Marks Tightly	2.632%
Dominant In The Air	2.632%
Gets ForwardLB·RB·CM·DM	2.632%
Comes Deep For BallST·AM	2.632%
Moves Into ChannelsST	2.632%
Drifts InsideLW·RW	2.632%
Box PoacherST	2.632%
OverlapsLB·RB	2.632%
Switches Play	2.632%
Dictates TempoDM·CM	2.632%
Fair Play	2.632%
Big Game Player	2.632%
Natural Leader	2.632%
Consistent	2.632%
Iron Man	2.632%
Media Darling	2.632%

Position-locked traits (position in brackets) only appear for players in that position. So the real chance is 1 ÷ (number of traits available for your position).

Assistant recruit (FP)

FP 30

One assistant you haven't recruited yet joins, each with equal chance.
Once you've recruited them all, you can't open it (and no FP is taken).
Crown items that let you pick and recruit a specific assistant are not random.

10 assistants available

Assistant	Chance
Séraphine Tremblay	10%
Mira Chen	10%
Aria Santisuk	10%
Yuzuha Mori	10%
Noa Yoon	10%
Éloïse Marchand	10%
Tanya Mak	10%
Hana Ishigaki	10%
Monique Bell	10%
Matilda Berg	10%

Upgrades · Fusion

Chances of success when upgrading cards you own.

Gear & staff upgrades

Varies by grade and level (shown on the card)

With a protection charm, a failed upgrade at +4 to +10 won't drop the level or destroy the card (1 charm; the upgrade cost stays the same).
The highest upgrade level depends on your league tier.

Success chance by level

Level	Success
+0 → +1Fail: no change	90%
+1 → +2Fail: no change	80%
+2 → +3Fail: no change	70%
+3 → +4Fail: −1	55%
+4 → +5Fail: −1	45%
+5 → +6Fail: −1	35%
+6 → +7Fail: −2	25%
+7 → +8Fail: −2	18%
+8 → +9Fail and the card is destroyed	12%
+9 → +10Fail and the card is destroyed	8%

Fusion

Free

Each material card adds 0.2 percentage points per upgrade level from +1 to +4, and 0.5 per level from +5 up. All 3 the same type: +3 points. Max 95%.
If the grade doesn't go up, you get 1 card of the same grade.
From C grade, you can choose which type you get.

3 cards of the same grade → one grade up

Material grade	Base chance
D ×3	15%
C ×3	8%
B ×3	3%
A ×3	0.5%
S ×3Grade doesn't go up	0%

Other things decided by chance

These aren't items, but their results are decided by chance.

Investments (info)

Amount paid in

Not an item — a way to grow in-game money. Results are decided by chance, so they're listed here too.
Returns will fall within the range shown.

Return range at maturity

Product	Failure chance
FundAt maturity: -8% to +14%	0%
PropertyAt maturity: 0% to +12%	0%
BusinessAt maturity: -5% to +45% · 60% of principal lost on failure	12%
Sponsor stakeAt maturity: 1% to +8%	0%
Own brandAt maturity: 5% to +35%	0%